On emergency cases, GPT-5 alone scored 76.6%; inside Microsoft's system, 80.3%

Share of emergency cases diagnosed correctly in Microsoft's simulation, by who or what diagnosed them, in its October 22, 2026 study

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On emergency cases, GPT-5 alone scored 76.6%; inside Microsoft's system, 80.3%
CategoryValue
GPT-5 inside Microsoft's MAI-DxO80.3%
GPT-5 alone, with a basic prompt76.6%
Generalist physicians, with reference materials46.8%

About the data

Sources
Method
Each case starts from a short summary of an emergency department visit that ended in a hospital admission, taken from MIMIC-IV, a database of de-identified hospital records used for research. The doctor or AI asks questions and orders tests, an AI model answers from the patient's discharge summary, and another AI model grades the final diagnosis. The two GPT-5 figures cover the 325 cases Microsoft reports results on. The physicians' figure is the average for clinicians working with reference materials, from Microsoft's results table and the study's abstract, neither of which says how many of the cases the physicians worked. In the same dataset notes, the average estimated cost of the tests ordered was about $4,240 a case for GPT-5 alone and $4,980 inside MAI-DxO.
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Related charts

Sources for the figures above: OpenAI, API changelog (July 30, August 21 and September 29, 2026) (opens in a new tab); OpenAI, GPT-5.6 Luna model page (opens in a new tab); Max Woolf, OpenAI and Anthropic cut their LLM prices by up to 80% within a few months (October 25, 2026) (opens in a new tab); This healthcare AI use case will grow 320% by 2026, survey finds (opens in a new tab).

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